DEATH to Corn Prices - Thanks, USDA...
DEATH to Corn Prices - Thanks, USDA... ย 
Podcast: Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Published On: Wed Aug 13 2025
Description: Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.0:00 Mammoth Corn Crop5:07 BIG Acreage Changes7:13 Soybean Rally10:46 Cargill Revenue Down12:47 Stock Market Rally14:38 Corn Flash๐ŸŒฝ Record Corn Crop Sends Prices Tumbling ๐Ÿ“‰The USDA dropped a bombshell Tuesday, projecting a record-shattering US corn crop ๐ŸŒฝ๐Ÿ’ฅ. National yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa, smashing all trade estimates and Julyโ€™s forecast. Production came in at a jaw-dropping 16.74 billion bushels โ€” thatโ€™s 1.4B bushels (9%) more than the previous record in 2023. Corn acreage was also bumped up to 97.3 million, fueled by favorable weather across much of the Corn Belt. After the news, Dec25 corn slid about 13ยข to close near $3.95/bu. ๐Ÿ“‰๐ŸŒฑ Prevent Plant & Acreage UpdateNew FSA data shows 1.8M prevented plant acres of corn (down 32% YoY), 1.2M acres for soybeans (up 55%), and 0.3M acres for wheat (down 29%). Actual plantings came in at 96.5M corn, 79.8M soybeans, and 48.7M wheat โ€” hinting corn acreage may be revised even higher later.๐Ÿซ˜ Soybean SurpriseSoybean acres were cut to 80.9M โ€” the biggest YoY drop in modern history ๐Ÿ“‰. Production is now seen at 4.29B bu, but with a record 53.6 bpa yield. Nov25 soybeans rallied nearly 6ยข, settling near $10.33/bu. ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿญ Cargill Hit by Weak Grain MarketsCargillโ€™s revenue slid to $154B โ€” its lowest since 2021 โ€” amid slumping crop prices and tight beef margins. The company has cut ~8,000 jobs and restructured from five to three business units.๐Ÿ“Š Stock Market Pops on CPI DataJuly CPI met expectations โ€” +0.2% MoM, +2.7% YoY โ€” sending the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs ๐Ÿš€. Odds of a September Fed rate cut are now near 90%.๐Ÿšข Corn Flash Sale to MexicoUS exporters sold 315,488 mt of corn to Mexico โ€” most for the 2025/26 marketing year. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‘ Like, comment, and subscribe for the latest in grain markets, ag policy, and market-moving data! ๐ŸŒพ๐Ÿ“ˆ