Soybean Lifeline? Trump-Xi Meeting Could Decide Farmers' Fate
Soybean Lifeline? Trump-Xi Meeting Could Decide Farmers' Fate  
Podcast: Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Published On: Thu Oct 02 2025
Description: Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.🇨🇳 Trump vs. Xi on SoybeansPresident Trump announced he’ll confront China’s Xi Jinping at the upcoming APEC summit over Beijing’s refusal to purchase U.S. soybeans. The news sent soybean futures sharply higher—the biggest move since late August—before paring gains. Trump also floated a plan to use tariff revenues to fund fresh farmer aid, though the legality remains in question. Meanwhile, the U.S.–China tariff truce expires in November, and China has yet to book any new-crop U.S. soybeans.📉 USDA Report SuspendedThe October 9th WASDE and Crop Production reports are unlikely amid the government shutdown. USDA’s site confirms the reports are suspended until further notice, leaving traders without official supply, demand, and yield estimates during a critical time.💵 Dollar Drops AgainThe U.S. dollar weakened for the 4th straight session, its longest losing streak in a month, following soft payroll data and the shutdown. Perhaps most important to ag markets: the U.S. dollar has lost nearly 14% vs. the Brazilian real this year—keeping soybeans supported above $10.🌽 StoneX Crop UpdateU.S. corn yield cut to 185.9 bpa, but production still raised to 16.74B bu due to higher acreage.Soybean yield boosted to 53.9 bpa, production raised to 4.33B bu.Brazil’s soybean crop pegged at 178.6 mmt, up 5% from last year with record acreage.🍺 Ethanol Output SlipsU.S. ethanol production fell for the third straight week to 1.0M bpd. Stocks also declined, though margins remain strong across the Corn Belt at 20–60 cents positive.✅ Stay InformedMarkets are moving fast—don’t miss critical updates!👉 Subscribe, drop a comment with your thoughts, and share this with a fellow farmer.