I Raised His P(Doom) Live On Air — Liron on Milk Road AI
I Raised His P(Doom) Live On Air — Liron on Milk Road AI  
Podcast: Doom Debates!
Published On: Thu Aug 06 2026
Description: Milk Road AI, a daily AI investing show that’s described as “99% optimistic about AI,” invited me on to make the case for AI doom.We ride the Doom Train, and I share my investing thesis for a market in the middle of an intelligence explosion. Topics covered include:* Why my P(Doom) is 50%;* The “Icarus curve” — why AI will be the best thing that’s ever happened to the economy right up until it takes over;* Whether China would accept a pause deal;* If Anthropic has a shot at being the first $100 trillion company.Watch on YouTube:Timestamps00:00:00 — Cold Open00:02:06 — What Is Doom Debates?00:03:10 — What’s Your P(Doom)?™00:06:30 — How AI Kills Everyone00:09:13 — Intelligence Is Humanity’s Only Superpower00:10:59 — Riding the Doom Train™: Why Not Keep Us as Pets?00:13:55 — Embodied AI and Robotics00:15:59 — Are We at AGI Already?00:17:36 — Everyone’s Catching Up to Eliezer Yudkowsky00:18:53 — The Icarus Curve00:21:35 — Pausing AI and the China Question00:25:54 — Why Nukes Aren’t a Success Story00:30:09 — Going Long Until Doom00:32:48 — Simulation Theory and the Intelligence Explosion00:33:43 — Living with a 50% P(Doom)00:39:14 — Where to Find Doom DebatesLinksThis episode was originally posted on Milk Road AI —Milk Road AI podcast — https://milkroad.com/podcast/Milk Road AI on Apple Podcasts —Milkroad Pro — https://milkroad.com/pro/LG Doucet on X — https://x.com/LgDoucetIf Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies on Amazon —https://www.amazon.com/dp/0316595640Doom Debates’ Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate.Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at DoomDebates.com and to youtube.com/@DoomDebates, or to really take things to the next level: Donate 🙏 Get full access to Doom Debates at lironshapira.substack.com/subscribe